Posts by Paul Constant

Daily Clips: July 8, 2016

Daily Clips: July 8, 2016

SHOOTINGS IN DALLAS: It’s been an incredibly difficult week for America . The media seems eager to paint the Dallas shootings as part of a larger “War on Police.” That is not true; police have reported that the shooter disavowed the Black Lives Matter movement. What this was, was another in a long string of horrific mass shootings. This time, the shooter targeted police officers. Last time, it was gay men. Once, it was Batman fans. The unifying theme in these shootings is that a small number of men choose to use guns to enact their twisted wills on the world, and we make it way too easy for them to get those guns. JUNE’S JOBS REPORT IS GREAT: Here’s some good news : The US economy gained 287,000 jobs in June, the strongest monthly result of 2016. The unexpectedly strong result helps put to rest fears of the US economy tipping into recession — a recession that would have been bad for Hillary Clinton’s chances of capturing the White House in November. Here’s Donald Trump on May’s weak jobs numbers last month: Terrible jobs report just reported. Only 38,000 jobs added. Bombshell! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 3, 2016 Weirdly, Trump has yet to tweet about the June numbers. I’m sure it’s just a matter of time.  HATE LOSES: The anti-transgender bathroom initiative did not make the November ballot in Washington, says Joseph O’Sullivan at the Seattle Times : The proposed initiative to restrict bathroom and locker-room access for transgender people won’t be on Washington state’s November election ballot. The campaign in support of Initiative 1515 indicated Thursday it couldn’t gather the 246,000 signatures needed, according to David Ammons, spokesman for the Washington Secretary of State’s Office. SPEAKING OF LGBT RIGHTS: King County just made a welcome announcement : The National Gay & Lesbian Chamber of Commerce (NGLCC), the business voice of the LGBT community, is excited to announce that King County Executive Dow
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New Poll Shows Washington Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Initiative 1491

New Poll Shows Washington Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Initiative 1491

Yesterday, Raise Up Washington turned in over 360,000 signatures supporting their initiative to raise the minimum wage and introduce paid sick leave statewide. Today, another initiative traveled to Olympia to turn in some 330,000 signatures: the Washington Alliance for Gun Responsibility took a major step toward getting Extreme Risk Protection Orders on the ballot this November. @WaGunResponsib turns in sigs for I-1491 to get on ballot. Initiative would legalize extreme risk protection orders pic.twitter.com/D8MT5JXnjK — Natalie Brand (@NatalieBrandK5) July 7, 2016 What are Extreme Risk Protection Orders? As I reported back in February , Alliance Executive Director Renee Hopkins described them as a way to “allow family members and law enforcement officers… to ask a judge to temporarily suspend a person’s access to firearms if there is documented evidence of dangerous mental illness or a high risk of violent behavior.” Two of the deadliest shootings in Washington state history — the Jewish Federation shooting in 2006 and the Cafe Racer shooting in 2013 — could likely have been avoided had Extreme Risk Protection Orders been in place. This is the second time Washington voters will directly take on the NRA at the ballot box, after 2014’s successful  Washington Universal Background Checks for Gun Purchases initiative. And at the moment, things are looking good for I-1491 this November. A  Public Policy Polling poll commissioned by the Northwest Progressive Institute in June asked 679 likely Washington voters how they’d vote on I-1491 if the election were held today. The results: Yes: 73% Definitely vote yes: 56% Probably vote yes: 17% No: 21% Probably vote no: 11% Definitely vote no: 10% Not sure: 5% As NPI’s Cascadia Advocate points out : The overall “Yes” figure is certainly impressive (73%!), but what really stands out is that an outright majority of voters fall into the Definitely vote yes camp. That 56% number suggests that most Washingtonians are very enthusiastic about I-1491. It’s obvious that the American people are sick of gun violence. And as the Democrats’ filibuster in the Senate and sit-in in the House have proven, NRA-funded Republican lawmakers are making changes impossible on the federal level . So states and
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Daily Clips: July 7, 2016

Daily Clips: July 7, 2016

IT HAPPENED AGAIN: Philando Castile is the second African-American man to be shot by a policeman in less than 24 hours . Like Alton Sterling , Castile died on camera. Castile was legally carrying a firearm, but the NRA doesn’t seem to care . CITY COUNCIL PROMOTES PAID PARENTAL AND FAMILY LEAVE: Check out the new proposed policy for city employees over at Councilmember Lorena González’s page. VIRAL PETITION BERATES “EXTREME LABOR CUTS” Janet I. Tu at the Seattle Times writes: A Starbucks barista’s petition complaining that the coffee chain has cut working hours in its stores to the point of “gross underemployment” for workers has garnered more than 11,000 signatures and the attention of top Starbucks executives. “THERE’S GOING TO BE A WHOLE LOT OF HAPPY STORE MANAGERS” Check out this great Marketplace story by Andy Uhler on raising the overtime threshold.

You Won’t Believe How This Dumb Think Tank Wastes Money That Could Have Gone to Minimum-Wage Workers

You Won’t Believe How This Dumb Think Tank Wastes Money That Could Have Gone to Minimum-Wage Workers

Last week, think tank/PR firm the Employment Policies Institute— not the good EPI; the bad EPI —paid for a full-page ad in the New York Times protesting the $15 minimum wage. The ad, which depicted an unflattering caricature of SEIU president Mary Kay Henry (because it’s always smart to mock your opponents’ physical appearance), argued that the $15 minimum wage would kill “starter jobs.” Why did the ad run last week? Who knows? Why did the ad run at all? Well, presumably the organization, which Goldy pointed out is most likely funded by “the restaurant, accommodations, and retail industries,” had to have some kind of splashy results to show its backers. Because the not-that-EPI’s great War Against $15 is really not going well. They’re losing, and their backers can’t be thrilled about how badly they’re losing. Here’s how badly the not-that­-EPI’s war on raising the wage is going: Some 63 percent of Americans support raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2020. Every time you turn around, a new city or state is getting on the road to $15. Several states, including Washington, are voting to raise the wage this November. President Obama is a vocal supporter of raising the wage, as is Secretary Clinton. Walmart and Target have voluntarily raised their minimum starting wages because the government hasn’t kept up. Hell, even a majority of small business owners believe the minimum wage should be raised. Basically, the not-that-EPI just has Paul Ryan and Donald Trump on its side. And even Donald Trump isn’t sure where he stands on the minimum wage. But really all the not-that-EPI is proving with this ad is that they have enough extra money lying around to take out a full-page ad in the New York Times. I don’t know how much they paid, but based on the Times’s own rate cards (PDF), the rate for a full-page, full-color national ad in the business section is $214,733. Now, there’s every chance that the not-that-EPI got a sweetheart deal of some sort out of the Times, so let’s round the
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Daily Clips: July 6, 2016

Daily Clips: July 6, 2016

ALTON STERLING WAS SHOT: A graphic video shows Baton Rouge police wrestling an African-American man named Alton Sterling to the ground and shooting him. CLINTON PROMOTES DEBT-FREE EDUCATION PLAN: Hillary Clinton will unveil a higher education plan that incorporates major aspects of Bernie Sanders’s education policy: Clinton is adding three features to her plan for higher education policy, called the “ New College Compact .“ They include eliminating tuition at in-state public universities for families making under $125,000 by 2021 and restoring year-round Pell Grant funding so students can take summer classes to finish school quicker. WASHINGTON STATE DECIDES: Joel Connelly at the Seattle PI writes about two measures that are likely to make it to the ballot in November: Initiative 1433 would increase the state’s minimum wage, currently at $9.47 an hour, in phases to $13.50 an hour by 2020. I-1433 would allow workers to earn an hour of paid sick leave for every 40 hours spent on the job.  Initiative 1491 would provide for extreme risk protection orders, allowing family members or law enforcement to ask that courts temporarily suspend a person’s access to firearms if there is documented evidence that a person’s access to guns threatens his/her life and that of others. REPUBLICANS TALK A GOOD ECONOMIC GAME: Kevin Drum at  Mother Jones  points out something that has been staring us in the face for a while: ….economies always recover eventually. Conservatives take advantage of this fact by loudly and clearly insisting that their proposed tax cuts will supercharge economic growth. They know that eventually there will be growth, and when it happens they can then loudly and clearly insist that their tax cuts were responsible. Since they’ve been loudly and clearly saying this all along, ordinary citizens conclude that they’re right. Democrats don’t really do this.  

Daily Clips: July 5, 2016

Daily Clips: July 5, 2016

FBI OFFERS RECOMMENDATION IN CLINTON EMAIL CASE: The FBI does not recommend charges in the Clinton email case, says the New York Times: The F.B.I. director, James B. Comey, said on Tuesday that the bureau would not recommend criminal charges in Hillary Clinton’s handling of classified information, lifting an enormous legal cloud from her presidential campaign, hours before her first joint campaign appearance with President Obama. Comey called Clinton “extremely careless.” HOUSE TO PICK UP GUN DEBATE THIS WEEK: The House is set to vote on a Republican-sponsored gun responsibility law this week which introduces… …restrictions to bar people suspected of terrorist ties from purchasing firearms. Republican Senator John Cornyn introduced a similar bill last month, but Senate Democrats rejected it, arguing it was unworkable. House Democrats are expected to do the same. DONALD TRUMP CONTINUES TO BE DONALD TRUMP: Paul Ryan says Trump’s Star of David tweet was “ridiculous,” adding that “anti-Semitic images have no place in a presidential campaign.” Ryan added, “I really believe he’s gotta clean up the way his new media works.” Ryan continues to bravely stand behind Trump, though.

Daily Clips: July 1, 2016

Daily Clips: July 1, 2016

OWNERS WON’T PLAY BALL WITH MINOR LEAGUE PLAYERS: Our own Hanna Brooks Olsen wrote a terrific piece on Medium about a proposed bill to make minor league baseball players exempt from the Fair Labor Standards Act. As owners make millions, many of these players already “scrape by on a stipend of about $1,100 per month for the spring and summer months that they get paid (during winter training, they’re expected to work without pay.)” As we prepare for this 4th of July weekend, it’s sad to think about America’s pastime reduced to a race to the bottom like this. THE GIG ECONOMY NEEDS AN OVERHAUL:  Katy Steinmetz at TIME  has all the information about a study of the gig economy: Employers, according to the survey, do agree that change is needed. Nearly 70% of them say the social contract — “whereby health, retirement, and other benefits are generally tied to traditional, full-time W2-based employment” — should be reformed as more people move to making a living through alternative arrangements. Might I suggest those employers take a look at the Shared Security plan proposed by David Rolf and Nick Hanauer?  Seems like it would simply solve a lot of the problems discussed in this survey. WHY AREN’T MILLENNIALS SPENDING MORE? Business Insider quotes “ retail expert” Robin Lewis on the millennial spending gap: “This is a generation that is bigger than the boomers in population but their wallets are smaller.” Uh, sure, okay. Those dang small wallets.  It surely doesn’t have to with the fact that m illennial median incomes are lower than average , right? Or skyrocketing college debt ? Could it be that millennials are currently at the ass end of a decades-old economic system that pumps money up to the top one percent and keeps it at the top, thereby choking the 99 percent with ever-lower salaries, nonexistent benefits, and a shrinking pool of savings? But okay, let’s talk about their wallet size. TWEET OF THE DAY: I don’t know about you, but
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Why Brexit Won

Why Brexit Won

Eric Beinhocker is the author of the excellent book The Origin of Wealth , which greatly influences our thinking here at Civic Ventures. It dismantles our concept of economics and then reassembles it with a better understanding of human behavior. When you abandon the weirdly idealized economic thinking that argues the market is a kind of conscious organism which decides the best outcomes, you start to realize that a lot of our assumptions are completely wrong. Beinhocker basically explodes the idea of trickle-down economics that has dominated thinking in the field for decades. I highly recommend the book; it literally changes the way you think about markets and money and jobs and society. Basically, all this is a long way of saying that when Beinhocker talks, we listen. So his new essay for the Atlantic , “The Psychology of Voting to Leave the EU,” deserves highest priority in your to-be-read queue. Beinhocker explains, using economics and behavioral research, why British voters went for the Brexit, a decision that flew in the face of their own self-interest. “Humans are wired for reciprocal cooperation,” Beinhocker writes. Do unto others as you would have them do unto you, I’ll scratch your back if you scratch mine, etc. Our hunter-gatherer ancestors lived in small groups, for whom cooperation was essential for survival. A key step in human development was when people expanded this circle of cooperation from close kin to strangers through trade, customs, religions, alliances in warfare, and eventually through laws and institutions. Modern society is a vast intricate web of cooperation. “But cooperation also creates the potential for cheaters,” he continues. “Humans are thus also wired to be altruistic punishers—not altruistic in a nice sense, but altruistic in the sense that they will punish people, even to their own harm, to enforce fairness.” Beinhocker’s thesis explains why people often say one thing and then vote against their previously stated
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Daily Clips: June 30, 2016

Daily Clips: June 30, 2016

NATE SILVER HAS SPOKEN: The good news is that Hillary Clinton has an 80 percent chance of winning the presidency in the new Five Thirty Eight model. The bad news is that means Donald Trump has a 20 percent chance of winning the presidency. That’s one in five, people! TODAY’S MUST-READ REPORT: Nell Abernathy, Mike Konczal, and Kathryn Milani have written a report for the Roosevelt Institute titled Untamed: How to Check Corporate, Financial, and Monopoly Power, which presents “a specific set of solutions to curb rising economic inequality and spur productive growth. We start from the assumption that inequality is not inevitable: It is a choice, and, contrary to many opinions on both the left and the right, we can choose differently without sacrificing economic efficiency.” WHICH REPUBLICANS HAVE GONE ALL-IN FOR TRUMP? The Atlantic’s David A. Graham has built a handy chart identifying the Yeas, Nays, Abstentions, and Undecideds. This is vitally important; those Republicans who do endorse Trump should be forced to wear that endorsement for the rest of their political lives. TWEET OF THE DAY: “That person cannot be me,” @BorisJohnson rules himself out of #Toryleadership race https://t.co/K6pbNn362q https://t.co/fhkLY57nmh — BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) June 30, 2016

Go Read #SeaHomeless

Go Read #SeaHomeless

Today, media in Seattle and San Francisco are focusing on homeless issues. Homeless populations in both cities are growing at a rapid clip, and there are so many complicated reasons why this is the case—the skyrocketing cost of housing, a lack of public assistance for the poor, very little mental health care coverage, etc. In an ideal world, newspapers would have dedicated homeless issues reporters. Instead, we have an ever-shrinking array of city beat reporters who are stretched too thin to adequately cover all the stories out on the streets. But they’re trying, and today is a day for them to share the coverage that they’ve given the topic, as well as to debut new stories. You’ll find the Seattle portion of the coverage on Twitter under the hashtag #SeaHomeless . Some highlights so far: Crosscut examines the roots of the homeless crisis in Seattle. Firesteel WA’s StoryCorps project collects homeless peoples’ stories, in their own words. KUOW offered some ideas on how to make Seattle’s shelter system better. The Seattle Times reports that Paul Allen has donated a million dollars to build housing in Columbia City. A homeless man from Seattle named Joe Bernstein is doing a Reddit AMA later this afternoon . KING 5 promotes the idea of looking homeless people in the eye and saying hello. Kelsey Hamlin at the South Seattle Emerald tells one family’s story. Erica C. Barnett looks at how people discuss homelessness , and how they get it wrong. There is so much more for you to read, and there will be updates all day long on Twitter and in social media. Go be a part of the conversation, or perhaps most importantly you should go be a witness. Your reading these stories is so important; it reminds editors and publishers that Seattle cares about homelessness, and wants our media to keep covering the issue.

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